Dryness continues across much of southern Africa, flooding risks remain over Mozambique, Malawi and Madagascar
Africa Weather Hazards
Since mid-December, consistently heavy rainfall has occurred over southern Malawi and central/ northern Mozambique. Above-average rain forecast for the next week will keep flooding risks elevated. 2 Poorly distributed rainfall has resulted in mid-season dryness across eastern Botswana, northern South Africa, central/southern Mozambique, and central/southern Zimbabwe. Dryness is forecast to continue next week.
Since late December, a sharp reduction in rainfall has led to mid-season dryness across southern Angola, western Zambia, northern Namibia, the Caprivi Strip, and Ghanzi and Ngamiland Districts in Botswana. Continued belowaverage rainfall is expected during the next week.
A prolonged dry spell has led to 30-day rainfall totals below the 15th percentile over central South Africa and bordering areas in southern Botswana. With little rain forecast for the next week, dryness is expected to worsen.
Above-average rainfall over the past 30 days has resulted in widespread flooding in Madagascar. Heavy rains forecast for the next week will keep flooding risks elevated.
Extended dry spells and 30-day rainfall below the 10th percentile have led to poor cropping conditions across central/ southern Tanzania. Heavy rain is forecast to provide relief to southern Tanzania, but dry conditions are expected to continue in central Tanzania.
Erratically distributed rainfall has led to below-average vegetative conditions in parts of the KwaZulu-Natal and eastern Free State Provinces of South Africa. Moderate rain forecast for the next week should provide some relief.